Paper Title:
The Application of Bayesian Statistics in Calculating Project Buffer
  Abstract

This paper reviews several current methods of calculating buffer on the basis of pointing out each merits and pitfalls and then introduces Bayesian statistical approach to CCS / BM domain to calculate the size of the project buffer, to overcome that the current method of the buffer calculation is too subjective and the defect on lacking of practical application. In Crystal Ball, we compare the simulation results of implementation process on the benchmark of C&PM, RESM and SM. The results show that the buffer using this method can ensure the stability of the project’s completion probability, and this method has great flexibility.

  Info
Periodical
Edited by
Qi Luo
Pages
1018-1024
DOI
10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.58-60.1018
Citation
F. Ye, G. C. Xu, D. K. Zhu, "The Application of Bayesian Statistics in Calculating Project Buffer", Applied Mechanics and Materials, Vols. 58-60, pp. 1018-1024, 2011
Online since
June 2011
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Price
$32.00
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