Paper Title:
Forecasting Model of Short-Term Traffic Flow Based on Cloud Model
  Abstract

In order to improve the prediction precision of the short-term traffic flow, a prediction method of short-term traffic flow based on cloud model was proposed. The traffic flow was fit by cloud model. The history cloud and the present cloud were built by historical traffic flow and present traffic flow. The forecast cloud is produced by both clouds. Then, combining with the volume of the short-term traffic flow of an intersection in Guangzhou City, the model was calculated and simulated through programming. Max Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute percent Error (MAPE) were used to estimate the effect of prediction. The simulation results indicate that this prediction method is effective and advanced. The change of the historical and real time traffic flow is taken into account in this method. Because the short-term traffic flow is dealt with as a whole, the error of prediction is avoided. The prediction precision and real-time prediction are satisfied.

  Info
Periodical
Chapter
Chapter 1: Structural Engineering
Edited by
Xuejun Zhou
Pages
38-42
DOI
10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.94-96.38
Citation
Q. Liu, J. M. Xu, "Forecasting Model of Short-Term Traffic Flow Based on Cloud Model", Applied Mechanics and Materials, Vols. 94-96, pp. 38-42, 2011
Online since
September 2011
Authors
Export
Price
$32.00
Share

In order to see related information, you need to Login.

In order to see related information, you need to Login.

Authors: Dan Li, Da Peng Fan, Chun You Dong
Chapter 9: Environmentally Sustainable Manufacturing Processes and Systems
Abstract:In order to solve the universal uncertainty in ecological environment evaluation of coal mining area, the cloud model is proposed. Theory of...
1372
Authors: Yu Liu, Chang Jin Wang, Feng Qin Wang
Chapter 7: Information Engineering and Technology
Abstract:Traditional evaluation methods do not consider that e-commerce credit evaluation is inherently uncertain and ambiguity .This kind of method...
1439
Authors: Ming Zhong, Qiu Wen Zhang
Chapter 1: Environmental Science and Engineering
Abstract:Due to the uncertainty and complexity of the causes in reservoir-induced seismicity, the relationship between the environmental factor and...
270
Authors: En Hua Chang, Guan Nan Zhu, Jiong Wei Chen
Chapter 5: High Voltage and Insulation Technology, and Power System Management
Abstract:Abstract. Electricity power forecasting has been always playing a vital role in power system management and planning. Inaccurate prediction...
278