Paper Title:
Prediction and Analysis of Ecological Effects of Property Rights Reform in State-Owned Forest Based on GM (1, 1)
  Abstract

This paper is base on the 5 pilot Board‘s management data from 2002 to 2010 when the property right reform of state-owned forest were carried out, use the characteristic that the gray model can solve the uncertainty relation of various factors within the system to predict the ecological effects of reform in the period 2011 to 2015. Model prediction accuracy is better, the results show that: the ecological evaluation of the reform--new forest area and tending forest area will decrease while survival rate will increase significantly in the future.

  Info
Periodical
Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 361-363)
Chapter
Chapter 11: Environmental Protection and Economic Development
Edited by
Qunjie Xu, Honghua Ge and Junxi Zhang
Pages
1602-1605
DOI
10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.361-363.1602
Citation
W. Han, W. Qiu, H. X. Deng, Y. Fan, "Prediction and Analysis of Ecological Effects of Property Rights Reform in State-Owned Forest Based on GM (1, 1)", Advanced Materials Research, Vols. 361-363, pp. 1602-1605, 2012
Online since
October 2011
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Price
$32.00
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