A SD Prediction Model Based on System Dynamics of Social Economy and Transportation Industry
This paper uses vensim to establish a SD prediction model of transportation and social economy, the model considers passenger transport capacity, cargo capacity, population, GDP and other major factors. Base on data in nearly ten years, the prediction results verify S-T SD model is ture and effective,and get the time-node that the growth rate of passenger capacity satisfied the shortage of Passenger transport capacity in different sensitivity parameter A.
Xun Wu, Weizhen Chen, Weijun Yang and Jianguo Liang
X. Xia and M. Q. Jiang, "A SD Prediction Model Based on System Dynamics of Social Economy and Transportation Industry", Applied Mechanics and Materials, Vols. 641-642, pp. 669-672, 2014