Reassessment of Remaining Strength of Subsea Corroded Pipeline Using Bayesian Updating

Abstract:

Article Preview

System strength evaluation of subsea pipeline, which has already completed its design life, is an important issue to deal with especially when hydrocarbon is the material to be transported. The remaining strength of pipeline in terms of probability of failure can be determined using assessment of maximum operating pressure and its capacity by using burst test results. Monte Carlo simulation is used to find probability of failure and then with burst test results the existing probability of failure can be updated using Bayesian updating technique.

Info:

Periodical:

Edited by:

Al Emran Ismail, Amir Khalid, Aziman Madun, Ahmad Kueh Beng Hong, Fariza Mohamad, Hamidon Salleh, Kamaruddin Ambak, Mohammad Kamil Abdullah, Mohd Azlis Sani Md Jalil, Mohd Ezree Abdullah, Mohd Fahrul Hassan, Mohd Halim Irwan Ibrahim et.al.

Pages:

221-225

Citation:

Z. Nizamani and Z. Mustaffa, "Reassessment of Remaining Strength of Subsea Corroded Pipeline Using Bayesian Updating", Applied Mechanics and Materials, Vols. 773-774, pp. 221-225, 2015

Online since:

July 2015

Export:

* - Corresponding Author

[1] R. R. Fessler, Pipeline Corrosion, Michael Baker Jr., Inc. (2008).

[2] S. Ferson, Bayesian methods in risk assessment, Service Environnement & Procédés, USA2004.

[3] M. H. Faber, Basics of Structural Reliability, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology ETH, Switzerland2001.

[4] Bin Ma, Jian Shuai, Junqiang Wang, Kejiang Han Analysis on the Latest Assessment Criteria of ASME B31G-2009 for the Remaining Strength of Corroded Pipelines, Journal of Failure Analysis and Prevention, vol. 11, p.666–671, (2011).

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11668-011-9490-8