Research on Aircraft LY12CZ Aluminum Alloy Corrosion Damage Prediction Based on ARIMA Model
The corrosion of LY12CZ aluminum alloy in aircraft under service environment is regarded as a stochastic process and the time series theory is used to analyze and to predict the corrosion depth of LY12CZ under airport environment by means of ARIMA(3,1,1)model.The application result show that the ARIMAmodel can predict the value and propagation trend of corrosion depth realistically and effectively,demonstrating the expedient and easy application of time series theory and method.
Z. G. Liu and Z. T. Mu, "Research on Aircraft LY12CZ Aluminum Alloy Corrosion Damage Prediction Based on ARIMA Model", Advanced Materials Research, Vols. 308-310, pp. 1016-1022, 2011