Prediction and Analysis of Ecological Effects of Property Rights Reform in State-Owned Forest Based on GM (1, 1)
This paper is base on the 5 pilot Board‘s management data from 2002 to 2010 when the property right reform of state-owned forest were carried out, use the characteristic that the gray model can solve the uncertainty relation of various factors within the system to predict the ecological effects of reform in the period 2011 to 2015. Model prediction accuracy is better, the results show that: the ecological evaluation of the reform--new forest area and tending forest area will decrease while survival rate will increase significantly in the future.
Qunjie Xu, Honghua Ge and Junxi Zhang
W. Han et al., "Prediction and Analysis of Ecological Effects of Property Rights Reform in State-Owned Forest Based on GM (1, 1)", Advanced Materials Research, Vols. 361-363, pp. 1602-1605, 2012