Study on Macroscopic Prediction Model of Traffic Accident Influence Factors
In order to study the main influence factors on urban traffic accident, the grey correlation system macroscopic prediction method was presented. Concerning the overall environmental perspective of people, automobile, and road as well as the distinctive characteristic of urban traffic accident, the prediction model of factors contributing to traffic accident was proposed. EXCEL software was applied to analyze the relations between the influence factors and traffic accidents with grey theory model adopted to calculate the correlation grade among different factors. The prediction Model was also validated through examples on the basis of the investigation of traffic accident and the relevant statistics. The results show that the model is applicable and efficient in forecasting the main factors and the relations between them, thus to avoid traffic accidents.
Y. Z. Men et al., "Study on Macroscopic Prediction Model of Traffic Accident Influence Factors", Advanced Materials Research, Vol. 590, pp. 531-535, 2012