Reliability of Buried Pipeline Using FORM and Monte Carlo Simulation


Article Preview

The reliability estimation of pipelines is performed with help of the probabilistic method which considers the uncertainties included in the load and resistance parameters. The FORM (first order reliability method) is carried out to calculate the failure probability of corroded pipeline for the classified six distribution types of random variables. And the reliability of pipelines is assessed by using the failure probability. Furthermore, the MCS (Monte Carlo Simulation) is used to verify the results of the FORM. It is noted that the failure probabilities of the linear and the power models for surface corrosion are similar and those of the two-phase model for surface corrosion are somewhat different for six cases of two failure pressure models such as ASME B31G and MB31G models. And it is also found that the FORM and the MCS give similar results for varying exposure time.



Key Engineering Materials (Volumes 321-323)

Edited by:

Seung-Seok Lee, Joon Hyun Lee, Ik Keun Park, Sung-Jin Song, Man Yong Choi






O. S. Lee and D. H. Kim, "Reliability of Buried Pipeline Using FORM and Monte Carlo Simulation", Key Engineering Materials, Vols. 321-323, pp. 1543-1547, 2006

Online since:

October 2006




[1] M. Ahammed : International Journal of Pressure Vessels and Piping, Vol. 75(1998), p.321~329.

[2] Santosh, G. Vinod, O.P. R.K. Saraf, A.K. Ghosh and H.S. Kushwaha : Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 91, No. 2(2006), p.163~170.

[3] M. Ahammed and R. E. Melchers: Engineering Structures, Vol. 19, No. 12(1997), p.988~994.

[4] O.S. Lee and D.H. Kim : J. of Mech. Sci. and Tech., Vol. 19, No. 6(2005) p.1280~1289.

[5] R. Sadiq, B. Rajani and Y. Kleiner: Reliability Eng. and Systems Safety, Vol. 86(2004), p.1~10.

[6] S. Mahadevan and A. Haldar: Probability, Reliability and Statistical Method in Engineering Design (John Wiley & Sons, 2000).

In order to see related information, you need to Login.