Prediction of Seismic Casualties Based on Urban Land Types

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Abstract:

A probability model based on urban land types and probability reliability was put forward to predict seismic casualties. The casualty probabilities of different urban land types were got by classifying the urban land types, combining with the historical earthquake casualty statistics and statistic residence status in the architecture of different urban land types, and then the upper value of earthquake casualties in certain probability might be estimated. Meanwhile, an example was analyzed with the proposed method. Results show the feasibility of the proposed method.

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2074-2077

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May 2012

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© 2012 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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