Scenario Analysis of City Residential Electricity Consumption Based on the Time-Series Forecast - Taking Quanzhou City as an Example

Abstract:

In this paper, the development scenarios of electricity consumption of city residents living were analyzed by using the prediction method of time-series smoothing. The simulation calculation to the future development scenarios of electricity consumption forecasts the electricity consumption values of residential building in this case area from 2010 to 2050. The conclusion, that controlling living area per person is most effective measure, has reference significance for the future residential building energy efficiency work.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 178-181)
• Pages: 184-188
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.178-181.184
• Online since: May 2012
• Authors: Xiang Chao Hou, Lu Jie Zhu
• Keywords: Electricity Consumption, Forecast, Time-Series

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