Comparative Study on Landslide Hazard Deformation Forecast Method

Hua Fu; Jing Li Yang; Jin Hua Zhang; Ming Wei Liu

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.226-228.1318

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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 226-228Comparative Study on Landslide Hazard Deformation...

Comparative Study on Landslide Hazard Deformation Forecast Method

Abstract:

The key problem which the control of landslide hazard is the prediction of landslide fatalness, successful landslide forecast can consumedly decrease the loss caused by landslide hazard. Landslide spatial forecast can determine the location of unstable slope. For a certain landslide in Three Gorges Reservoir area, according to the existing monitoring data and analysis methods, such as: nonlinear regression analysis method, exponential smoothing and gray prediction method, to forecast deformation tendency of landslide from quantitative point and take comparative study. Results indicate that the gray prediction method is more tally with the reality in the deformation prediction. It can provide reference for deformation forecast of similar landslide or slope prevention in chongqing and Three Gorges Reservoir area.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 226-228)

Pages:

1318-1321

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.226-228.1318

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Online since:

November 2012

Authors:

Hua Fu, Jing Li Yang, Jin Hua Zhang, Ming Wei Liu

Keywords:

Comparative Study, Deformation, Gray Prediction, Landslide Hazard

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References

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