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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vols. 295-298Analysis on Periodic Characteristic and Dynamic...

Analysis on Periodic Characteristic and Dynamic Trend of Water Resources

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Abstract:

In order to simulate the dynamic trends of the influencing factors of water resources gap and periodic characteristics of the related factors, this paper establishes regional transition model and Error Correct Model as well as state-space model, whose parameters are used to measure the influences and trends. Empirical results implicit that these models fit sample data very well and some useful conclusions can be drawn from these parameters estimation. Different functions of influencing factors between periods of short and adequacy of water supply are showed. It is necessary to arrange consumption use rationally because of its greater percentage when water was scarce. The increasing consumption use becomes the main factor of water shortage.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 295-298)

Pages:

1898-1904

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.295-298.1898

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Online since:

February 2013

Authors:

Hai Yan Zhang, Xin Min Wang

Keywords:

Error Correct Model, Regional Transition Model, State Space Model, Water Resource, Water Use

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© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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