Design of a Short-Term Load Forecasting System for Small Hydropower in the Context of Electricity Market

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On the basis of the analysis of influencing factors on small hydropower generation load, considering the characteristics of small hydropower load, this paper presents a short-term load forecasting system for small hydropower in the context of electricity market. It is composed of the following components: information collection and processing, load forecasting, information monitoring. The system uses a method to segment and cluster the load curves, then wavelet decomposition is applied to load data, and a complex forecasting model is taken. Meanwhile, fulfill feedback control through the part of information monitoring, and extended short-term load forecasting is introduced. The system can improve the overall level of short-term load forecasting for small hydropower.

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178-182

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June 2013

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© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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