A Critical-Line-Based Predictive Model for Landslides

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Abstract:

This paper developed a critical-line-based method for predicting the occurrence of landslides using two rainfall indices, the rainfall intensity and the accumulated rainfall, based on four landslide case histories recorded in a county. Specifically, the rainfall records of the four cases were used to compute the 60-minute rainfall intensity and accumulated rainfall prior to the occurrence of landslides. Although the meteorological and geological conditions as well as other crucial factors are not considered in the development of the intended model, the analysis results indicated that the developed critical-line-based predictive model can reasonably identify the boundary between occurred and non-occurred zones. The developed model has the potential to be a useful tool for predicting the occurrence of landslides according to the rainfall conditions.

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391-394

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July 2014

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© 2014 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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