An Analysis of Simulation System of CO2 Emission and Emission Reduction Paths in Chongqing’s Electric Power Industry

Min Tang; Shi Yong Zhang; Li Ping Wang

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.700.431

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HomeApplied Mechanics and MaterialsApplied Mechanics and Materials Vol. 700An Analysis of Simulation System of CO2 Emission...

An Analysis of Simulation System of CO₂ Emission and Emission Reduction Paths in Chongqing’s Electric Power Industry

Abstract:

This paper predicts and analyzes the output, energy consumption and CO₂ emission in Chongqing’s electric power industry in 16 years to come using a dynamics simulation system of carbon emission. A comparison with historical data indicates a desirable goodness of fit of the simulated results, which show that the power generation in Chongqing will reach the peak of about 180 billion KWH in 2020 and 378 billion KWH in 2030, followed by a steady rise in the following 15 years; the per capita power consumption will reach 5350 KWH in 2020 and 12,000 KWH in 2030; the CO₂ emission will reach about 102,200,000 tons in 2020 and about 232,600,000 tons in 2030; the CO₂ emission per unit electricity generation will reach 570gco2/kwh in 2020 and about 620gco2/kwh in 2030. Based on the data, this paper analyzes the influence of different technical paths and policy options on emission in various developmental scenarios, and proposes specific paths for emission reduction.

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Periodical:

Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volume 700)

Pages:

431-436

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.700.431

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Online since:

December 2014

Authors:

Min Tang*, Shi Yong Zhang, Li Ping Wang

Keywords:

Carbon Emission (CE), Electric Power Industry, Simulation System

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