Using the Event Classifier System to Forecast the Stock Price: An Empirical Study of Taiwan Financial Market

Article Preview

Abstract:

This study was meant to construct an intelligent financial investment decision-making system capable of knowledge mining, performing assessments and evolving on its own based on event assessments by applying the classifier system in the artificial intelligence methodology. It is referred to as the Event Classifier System (ECS). In order to prove the feasibility and validity of the developed method and model, this study designed and developed the transaction model for event classifiers by creating the strategic modules for institutional investor’s holdings-related events and ex-right (dividend)-related events. Results of this empirical study show that the ECS established in this study had superior return on investment (ROI) performance than the Taiwan Weighted Stock Index for the same period of time.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Pages:

1400-1406

Citation:

Online since:

May 2015

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2015 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

* - Corresponding Author

[1] E.F. Fama: Efficient Capital Market: A View of Theory and Empirical Work. Journal of Finance 25 (1970) 383-417.

Google Scholar

[2] J.H. Holland: Processing and processors for Schemata, in E.L. Jacks (Ed. ), Associative information processing, American Elsevier, New York, 1971, pp.127-146.

Google Scholar

[3] J.H. Holland: A Mathematical Framework for Studying Learning in Classifier Systems. Physica 2(1-3) (1986) 307-317.

Google Scholar

[4] S.W. Wilson, D.E. Goldberg: A Critical Review of Classifier Systems. In Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Genetic Algorithms, 244-255, Morgan Kauffman, (1989).

Google Scholar

[5] S.W. Wilson: ZCS: A zeroth level classifier system. Evolutionary Computation 2(1) (1994) 1-18.

DOI: 10.1162/evco.1994.2.1.1

Google Scholar

[6] S.W. Wilson: Classifier Fitness Based on Accuracy, Evolutionary Computation 3(2) (1995)149-175.

Google Scholar

[7] A.P. Chen, Y.C. Chen and W.C. Tseng: Applying Extending Classifier System to Develop an Option-Operation Suggestion Model of Intraday Trading-An Example of Taiwan Index Option, Lecture Notes in AI 3681 (2005a) 27-33.

DOI: 10.1007/11552413_5

Google Scholar

[8] A.P. Chen, Y.C. Chen and Y.H. Huang: Applying Two-Stage XCS Model on Global Overnight Effect for Local Stock Prediction. Lecture Notes in AI 3681 (2005b) 34-40.

DOI: 10.1007/11552413_6

Google Scholar

[9] Y.K. Tsai: Applying Classifier Systems in Financial Distress Prediction Modeling. Master Thesis, National Chiao Tung University, (2004).

Google Scholar