The Quantitative Evaluation on the Response of Climate Change upon the Sustainability of the Agricultural Production

Abstract:

The aim: quantitatively evaluate the response of climate change upon the sustainability of the agricultural production. The method: the paper selected two regions (Hubei and shan’xi province) which represented different climate environment, utilized modern statistic data, Principal Component Analysis and multivariate linear regression to quantitatively evaluate the influence of climate change upon agricultural production through isolating climate environment from arable area, land utilization and management and landform and so on. The conclusion: The study indicated that when environmental condition turned good to agriculture, the function of environmental condition to agriculture relatively decreased; the capability of agricultural society and production decreased too, and people could select the land to cultivate, where agricultural productivity is higher. And that when environmental condition turned bad to agriculture, the function of environmental condition to agriculture relatively increased; the capability of agricultural society and production increased, too; people could not put emphasis on the land where agricultural productivity is higher, whereas focused on productivity per capita.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 129-131)
• Pages: 1161-1165
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.129-131.1161
• Online since: August 2010
• Authors: Lin Chun Hou, Hui Qin Li
• Keywords: Agricultural Productive Sustainability, Climate Change, Quantitative Evaluation

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