The Wind Speed Prediction Based on AR Model and BP Neural Network

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Abstract:

The output of the wind turbine has high randomness due to natural wind velocity. Whether the output can be predicted accurately or not is directly related to the feasibility of dispatching wind power in the power network. The key of wind farm output prediction is to predict the wind speed of wind farm site. This paper uses AR model and BP neural network to predict 24-hour wind speed, and proves the feasibility of these two predicted methods according to comparison with measured wind speed data. This paper has certain reference significance for improving the precision of wind speed prediction.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 450-451)

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1593-1596

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Online since:

January 2012

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© 2012 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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