Unit Root Tests of Structural Break with GARCH-Error Process

Article Preview

Abstract:

This paper studies the effect of GARCH process on the robustness and reliabilities of unit roots test with structural breaks. It gives that, as the GARCH process approaches integratedness, the test statistic’ the proportion of rejections reported actually increases as the sample size increases. Consequently, we can see that the standard asymptotic theory is inapplicable in this case. The statistic , their actual test size on the whole is accordant to nominal size in unit root and no break as the volatility parameter is small, =0 or approach to 0. The statistic exists a serious over sizing of null hypothesis as integratedness in all structural break type. The statistic test power increases as the sample size increases, but test power do not increases as the sample size increase under AR parameter. Test power increases as integratedness increases, and decreases as volatility parameter increases.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 452-453)

Pages:

986-990

Citation:

Online since:

January 2012

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2012 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

[1] Bollerslev T: Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics. Vol. 31(1986), pp.307-327.

DOI: 10.1016/0304-4076(86)90063-1

Google Scholar

[2] Chris Brooks; Alistair G: Testing for a Unit Root in a Process Exhibiting a Structural Break in the Presence of GARCH Errors. Rew Computational Economics, Vol. 20(2002) , pp.157-176.

Google Scholar

[3] Engle R F: Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity with estimates of variance of U. K inflation. Econnometrica, Vol. 50(1982) , pp.987-1008.

DOI: 10.2307/1912773

Google Scholar

[4] Kim K, Schmidt P: Unit roots with conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 59(1993), pp.287-300.

DOI: 10.1016/0304-4076(93)90027-3

Google Scholar

[5] Pierre. Perron. The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis. Econometria, Vol. 57, (1989), pp.1361-1401.

DOI: 10.2307/1913712

Google Scholar

[6] Pierre. Perron., Further evidence on breaking trend functions in macroeconomic variables. Journal of Econometrics. Vol. 80(1997), pp.355-385.

DOI: 10.1016/s0304-4076(97)00049-3

Google Scholar

[7] Pantula S G: Testing for unit roots in time series. Econometric Theory, Vol . 5(1989) , pp.256-271.

DOI: 10.1017/s0266466600012421

Google Scholar

[8] Shiqing Ling, Li W K: Limiting distributions ofmaximum likelihood estimators for unstable ARMA modelswith GARCH errors. Ann Statist, Vol. 26(1998), pp.84-125.

DOI: 10.1214/aos/1030563979

Google Scholar

[9] Shiqing Ling and McAleerM: Estimation and testing for unit root p rocesses with GARCH (1, 1) errors. Econometrics Review, Vol. 22(2003), pp.179-202.

Google Scholar

[10] Vogelsang, T. J, Pierre. Perron: Additional tests for a unit root allowing the possibility of breaks in the trend function. International Economic Review. Vol. 39(1998), pp.1073-1100.

DOI: 10.2307/2527353

Google Scholar