The Hybrid Method to Predict Biochemical Oxygen Demand of Haihe River in China

Article Preview

Abstract:

In order to predict the biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) concentration of Haihe River, a more accurate hybrid model, based on combined principal component regression (PCR) and artificial neural networks (ANN), was constructed. Data on nine water variables from 2007 to 2008 were used to develop models. The hybrid method achieved more accurate prediction compared with PCR and ANN. The R2 values were 0.762, 0.815 and 0.927 for PCR, ANN and the hybrid method, respectively. In a case application, the predictions of the hybrid method were found to been consistent with the observed values from January to June in 2009, while the predictions of PCR and ANN did not fit well for sample site 4 and 5.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 610-613)

Pages:

1066-1069

Citation:

Online since:

December 2012

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

[1] J.F. Lopes, J.M. Dias, A.C. Cardoso, C.I.V. Silva, The water quality of the Ria de Aveiro lagoon, Portugal: from the observations to the implementation of a numerical model, Marine Environmental Research 60(2005) 594-628.

DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2005.05.001

Google Scholar

[2] J.P. Suen, J.W. Eheart, M. Asce,. Evaluation of neural networks for modelling nitrate concentration in rivers, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 129(2003) 505-510.

DOI: 10.1061/(asce)0733-9496(2003)129:6(505)

Google Scholar

[3] S.A. Abdul-Wahab, C.S. Bakheit, S.M. Al-Alawi, Principal component and multiple regression analysis in modelling of ground-level ozone and factors affecting its concentrations, Environmental Modelling & Software 20(2005) 1263-1271.

DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2004.09.001

Google Scholar

[4] Y.F. Li, W.L. Cheng, J.T. Liu, The Forecast of Water Quality Based on Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Analysis, Journal of Zhengzhou University 29(2008) 106-109.

Google Scholar

[5] G.P. Zhang, Time series forecasting using a hybrid ARIMA and neural network model, Neurocomputing 50(2003) 159 -175.

DOI: 10.1016/s0925-2312(01)00702-0

Google Scholar

[6] S.M. Al-Alawi, S.A. Abdul-Wahab, C.S. Bakheit, Combining principal component regression and artificial neural networks for more accurate predictions of ground-level ozone, Environmental Modelling & Software. 23(2008) 396-403.

DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.08.007

Google Scholar