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The Hybrid Method to Predict Biochemical Oxygen Demand of Haihe River in China
Abstract:
In order to predict the biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) concentration of Haihe River, a more accurate hybrid model, based on combined principal component regression (PCR) and artificial neural networks (ANN), was constructed. Data on nine water variables from 2007 to 2008 were used to develop models. The hybrid method achieved more accurate prediction compared with PCR and ANN. The R2 values were 0.762, 0.815 and 0.927 for PCR, ANN and the hybrid method, respectively. In a case application, the predictions of the hybrid method were found to been consistent with the observed values from January to June in 2009, while the predictions of PCR and ANN did not fit well for sample site 4 and 5.
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1066-1069
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Online since:
December 2012
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© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved
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