An Evaluation Method of Water Resources Carrying Capacity Based on Projection Pursuit Model

Abstract:

It is very important that drawing up a reasonable developing and utilizing plan for water resources and ensuring the sustainable supply of water resources to the socioeconomic development of an area. So that, how to analyze and evaluate water resources carrying capacity is the key issue. In this paper, we proposed an evaluation method for water resources carrying capacity in Yellow River Delta based on projection pursuit evaluation model and particle swarm optimization. First, we regarded economy, social development, ecological environment and water resources as a compound system and established an index system including eighteen indices. Second, we chose the data in 2010 and evaluated water resources carrying capacity in Yellow River Delta utilizing projection pursuit evaluation model and particle swarm optimization. Finally, based on the evaluation above, we can draw a conclude for several areas in Yellow River Delta. The water resources carrying capacity of Dongying district and Kenli County is better and is at level II, and water resources are in week stress-free state. And that the one of Hekou district, Lijin County and Guangrao County is medium and level III, and the development of water resources and social economy is in coordination state.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 652-654)
• Pages: 1710-1716
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.652-654.1710
• Online since: January 2013
• Authors: Wei Wang, Yong Jun Feng, Wei Feng Chen, Fu Lin Li
• Keywords: Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Projection Pursuit Model, Water Resources Carrying Capacity, Yellow River Delta

References

[1] Duan Chunqing, Liu Changmin, et al. Preliminary Research on Regional Water Resources Carrying Capacity Conception and Method[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2010, 65(1):82-90.

[2] Jiang Qiuxiang. Study on Carrying Capacity Evaluation and Dynamic Simulation of Sustainable Utilization of Water and Land Resources in Sanjiang Plain[D]. Harbin:. Northeast Agricultural University, 2011.

[3] Chang Jianxia, Wang Yimin, et al. Water Resources and Ecological Environment Problems in Yellow River Estuary[J]. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2005, 19(6):158-161.

[4] Wei Shichuan, Wu Cifang, et al. Land Use Change and Ecological Security in Yellow River Delta Based on RS and GIS Technology - A case study of Dongying city[J]. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2008, 22(1):185-189.

[5] Wang Wei, Chen Weifeng. Study on Integrated Ecological Evaluation Land Consolidation in Yellow River Delta: A Case Study in Kenli County[J]. China Land Science, 2008, (1):65-70.

[6] Wang Wei, Chen Weifeng, et al. Landscape Pattern Characteristic and Dynamic Change of Newborn Wetland in the Yellow River Delta-A Case Study in Kenli County[J]. Research of Soil and Water Conservation, 2010, 17(1):33-38.

[7] Chen Jing, Fu Xin, Liu Gaohuan. Spatial-temporal Heterogeneity of Human Influence for Landscape Pattern Change in Yellow River Delta[J]. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2010, 24(1):134-138.

[8] J. H Fridman, J. W.Turkey. A projection pursuit algorithm for exploratory data analysis[J]. IEEE Trans on computer, 1974, 23(9): 881–890.

[9] Wang Shunjiu, Hou Yu, Zhang Xinli,Ding Jing. Comprehensive evaluation method for water resources carrying capacity in river basin[J]. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2003, 34(1): 88-92.

[10] Qin Keli. Evaluation Model of Regional Water Environment Carrying Capacity Based on RAG-PPE[J]. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 2010, 29(1):86-89.

[11] Jiang Qiuxiang, Fu Qiang, Wang Zilong. Evaluation and regional differences of water resources carrying capacity in Sanjiang plain[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2011, 27(9):184-190.

[12] Jiang Qiuxiang, Fu Qiang, Wang Zilong. Comprehensive evaluation of regional land resources carrying capacity based on projection pursuit model optimized by particle swarm optimization[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2011, 27(11):319-324.

[13] J Kenned, R Eberhart. Particle swarm optimization[C]. Pro IEEE Int Conf on Neural Networks, Perth, 1995,1942-1948.

[14] R Eberhart, J Kennedy. A new optimizer using particle swarm theory[C], Proc 6th Int Symposium on Micro Machine and Human Science, Nagoya, 1995.39-43.

DOI: 10.1109/mhs.1995.494215

[15] Wang Youzhen. Study on Evaluation of Regional Water Resources Carrying Capacity[D]. Nanjing: HoHai University, 2004:75.

[16] Liu Jiajun, Dong Suocheng, Lihong. Comprehensive Evaluation of China s Water Resources Carrying Capacity[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2011, 26(2):258-268.

[17] Hu Jimin.. Study on Evaluation of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Coastal Regions[D]. Dalian: Dalian University of Technology, 2008:38-66.