Analysis of Chinese Energy Security Based on Quantitative Evaluation Method

Abstract:

This paper by the following five areas: domestic resources and support capabilities, domestic production and supply capacity, international market ability to obtain national emergency regulation capacity, environmental security and ability to control to select the reserve-production ratio of the energy reserves replacement rate, the share of production, self-sufficiency ratethe share of imports, the price, the level of reserves, consumption intensity, carbon emissions, and clean energy proportion of 10 indicators, and finally design evaluation index system of energy security. It canbe description of the energy security overall situation by the energy safety index that calculated by weighted composite model.The results show that the energy security index the higher the value, the more secure the energy situation. The evaluation shows that under a realistic scenario, China's energy security degrees an average of 0.7125, which in the "basic security" state. If proper development planning, and effective measures, by the 2020, 2030, Energy Security degrees maybe to 0.8411,0.8477 into the "safe" range. Case of the international community for the implementation of energy blockade in China, China's energy security may be reduced to 0.5520 "unsafe" level.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 724-725)
• Pages: 1206-1210
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.724-725.1206
• Online since: August 2013
• Authors: Yan Zhang, Lei Shen, Min Jun Shi
• Keywords: Energy Resource, Energy Security Index System, Quantitative Evaluation

References

[1] Chuguo WU, Zengjie Liu, Rongguo Cui. Land and Resources Information.(2011), in Chinese

[2] Ning Yang. Journal of Zhengzhou Institute of Aeronautical Industry Management(2004),in Chinese

[3] Litao Liu, Lei Shen, Tianming Gao. Acta Geographica Sinica(2012) , in Chinese

[4] Guotian Cai, Lei Zhang. Progress in Geography(2005) , in Chinese

[5] Xiangmei Xu. International Petroleum Economics (2004) , in Chinese

[6] Shixiang Li. Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition),(2011), in Chinese

[7] Keyi Ju,Dequn ZHOU,Qunwei Wang. Resources Science(2011),in Chinese

[8] Fengying Chen, Luning Shi .Contempo Rary International Relations(2011),in Chinese

[9] Cai Lei. Progress in Geography(2007) , in Chinese

[10] Zhenbo Wei, Xin Liu. Resources Science(2010),in Chinese

[11] Ning Li. Journal of Zhengzhou Institute of Aeronautical Industry Management(2012),in Chinese

[12] Wangju Sun, Zhenwei Zhang. Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)(2012),in Chinese