A Combination Method for Mid-Long Term Power Load Simulation and Prediction

Dong Xiao Niu; Lei Lei Fan

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.748.498

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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vol. 748A Combination Method for Mid-Long Term Power Load...

A Combination Method for Mid-Long Term Power Load Simulation and Prediction

Abstract:

In view of the singleness of effect evaluation indexes in combination forecasting, this paper considered both benefit factors and cost factors. The entropy method and the variance-covariance method are adopted to determine the relative importance of these indicators and to get the weight of each single model. This improved combination forecasting model took both prediction accuracy and curve similarity into consideration, which is more accurate and reliable.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volume 748)

Pages:

498-501

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.748.498

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Online since:

August 2013

Authors:

Dong Xiao Niu, Lei Lei Fan

Keywords:

Combination Forecasting, Entropy Method, Mid-Long Term

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References

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