The Environmental Kuznets Curve and Effect Factors of CO2 Emissions in China: Dynamic Econometric Test Based on ARDL Model

Qing Zou; Xun Chen; Jun Na Lv

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.962-965.1670

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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vols. 962-965The Environmental Kuznets Curve and Effect Factors...

The Environmental Kuznets Curve and Effect Factors of CO₂ Emissions in China: Dynamic Econometric Test Based on ARDL Model

Abstract:

For discussing the shape, turning point and influencing factors of Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) for Chinese CO₂ emissions, by using data for 1960-2009, the dynamic relationship between income, other affecting factors and CO₂ emissions was studied utilizing the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag - Error Correction Model (ARDL-ECM) and boundary test methodology. The results suggest the existence of cointegration relationship among variables and presence of an inverted-U shape relationship in both short and long-run, thus supporting the EKC hypothesis. At present China has not surpassed the curve’s turning point. Energy intensity is key influencing factor for CO₂ emissions. Industry structure is positively correlated with CO₂ emissions. However, trade openness has little influence on it. The short-run environmental negative effect of urbanization and long-run positive effect of population density are both significant, the regression coefficient of energy consumption structure is positive in long-run but negative in short-run.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 962-965)

Pages:

1670-1675

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.962-965.1670

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Online since:

June 2014

Authors:

Qing Zou*, Xun Chen, Jun Na Lv

Keywords:

ARDL Bounds Test, Bounds Test, Environmental Kuznets Curve

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