Chinese Natural Gas Consumption Forecast and Shale Gas Development Based on Grey Model

Jie Yuan; Ru Hua Yuan

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.962-965.1737

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Economic Consequences of Carbon Tax and Carbon Emission Trading Scheme in Intensive Carbon Emission Enterprises
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A Study on Low-Carbon and Environmentally-Friendly Urbanization Path under the Perspective of Ecological Civilization
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Research on the Index System Construction of Low Carbon City for Jinan
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Analysis of China’s Technology Introduction of Clean Energy Based on the Perspective of Intellectual Property Rights
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Chinese Natural Gas Consumption Forecast and Shale Gas Development Based on Grey Model
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German Energiewende and its Implications for China
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Analysing the Sustainable Development of Coal Resources in Shanxi Province from the Perspective of Coal Reserves
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Analysis of Residual Autocorrelation in Forecasting Energy Consumption through a Java Program
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Assessing the Impacts of Inter-Regional Power Transmissions on Energy Structure in China’s Power Sector
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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vols. 962-965Chinese Natural Gas Consumption Forecast and Shale...

Chinese Natural Gas Consumption Forecast and Shale Gas Development Based on Grey Model

Abstract:

Natural gas as a main clean energy has received national attention,especially under the influence of "shale gas revolution" in the U.S. China has a large shale gas reserves,so Chinese shale gas development has also been widespread concerned.This paper uses GM(1,1) to predict Chinese natural gas consumption in the next few years.The results show that natural gas consumption will continue to rise,and increase rapidly.Under the influence of the current international Low-carbon energy transformation,this paper based on the consumption forecast,and combined with the development of shale gas in current China and the experience of shale gas development in the United States.Put forward some suggestions on such as shale gas exploration, the core technology, infrastructure, laws,regulations and policies,to improve the ratio of natural gas in primary energy consumption structure.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 962-965)

Pages:

1737-1740

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.962-965.1737

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Online since:

June 2014

Authors:

Jie Yuan*, Ru Hua Yuan

Keywords:

Energy Development, Grey Forecasting Model, Natural Gas, Shale Gas

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