Progress Risk Analysis Based on the Improved Learning Curve

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Abstract:

The learning curve is the curve which indicates individuals and organizations’ effectiveness of learning. Reasonable learning curve not only can use scientific analysis the time-consuming of process changes, accurately forecast the end of time, but also can help policy makers identify risks and risk analysis of the incident on the progress of the project impact.This article summarized the results of previous studies, constructed forecasting model of dynamic random variance time series, based on the learning curve, explained the state of volatility of learning curve in the construction of projects.

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3313-3317

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May 2012

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© 2012 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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