Forecasting of Highway Ecological Environment Evolution Based on Time Series Analysis

Abstract:

A roads ecological environmental quality index data for years is a time-series, and accurate prediction by exploring the changing rule of the time series is significant for future environmental protection. For this end, based on time series analysis, this paper firstly carries out steady analysis and random test pretreatment for the eco-environment quality index (EQI) data collected. Next, an ARMA model is established by pattern recognition, established bands and parameter estimation, and then verified by the data collected in recent years. Finally, the ARMA model is used to predict the future EQI values. This research will provide effective guidance to the eco-environmental protection along the road.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 361-363)
• Pages: 1604-1610
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.361-363.1604
• Online since: August 2013
• Authors: Guo Xiong Wu, Qing Jie Li, Gao Yun Cheng
• Keywords: ARMA Model, Eco-Environmental Quality Index, Model Prediction, Parameter Estimation, Time Series

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