The Forecast of Transportation Flows under Certain and Uncertain Trends: The Application of Combined Grey System Models

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Abstract:

The complexity of modern economic system makes the forecast about correlated variable more difficult. Combined grey system models with general grey forecasting method and grey verhulst forecasting method are utilized to overcome the forecast issues under certain and uncertain changing trends. The results indicate that the forecast accuracy is high and short-term forecasts are available, which supports the methodological applicability and robustness.

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1098-1101

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September 2013

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© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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