Approach to Forecasting Occurrence of Slope Failure with Nonlinear Dynamical System

Abstract:

Landslides constitute a major geologic hazard because they are widespread and commonly occur in connection with other major natural disasters such as earthquakes, rainstorms, wildfires and floods. Nonlinear dynamical system (NDS) techniques have been developed to analyze chaotic time series data. According to NDS theory, the correlation dimension and predictable time scale are evaluated from a single observed time series. The Xintan landslide case study is presented to demonstrate that chaos exists in the evolution of a landslide and the predictable time scale must be considered. The possibility for long-term, medium-term and short-term prediction of landslide is discussed.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 438-439)
• Pages: 1597-1602
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.438-439.1597
• Online since: October 2013
• Authors: Han Dong Liu
• Keywords: Landslide, Nonlinear Dynamical System, Prediction

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