The Application of Combination Prediction to Freight Volume of the Jingjiang River Channel Regulation Project

Abstract:

The smooth flow of The Jingjiang River channel is the key to achieve the overall effectiveness of the Yangtze River shipping. By regulation project, the minimum depth of the Jingjiang River is from 3 meters to 3.5 meters. By regression analysis, growth curve, grey system and elasticity coefficient of transportation, freight volume is predicted in some feature years. Through the combination forecasting method analyzes the weight of the former four prediction methods. After the regulation project, the freight volume of the Jingjiang River will reach 296.32 million tons in 2035, and average increase of 10%.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 488-489)
• Pages: 1391-1394
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.488-489.1391
• Online since: January 2014
• Authors: Ting Liu*
• Keywords: Combination Forecasting, Elasticity Coefficient of Transport, Growth Curve, Regression Analysis, Regulation Project

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