Passenger Flow Prediction of Exhibition Based on ARMA

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Abstract:

In this paper,the means of WiFi was used to access to mobile phone MAC address to get passenger flow data and existing prediction methods were compared. Then N6 of Chongqing International Expo Exhibition Center was taken as the object of study and 5min was taken as the time interval to count N6 hall passenger flow from 9:00 am to 17:00 pm of 5 open days to obtain time series. At last, ARMA model was established to predict passenger flow of short time. The results show that the mean we use in this paper has high accuracy of prediction, MAE is 2.8771,and the means can be used for the passenger flow prediction of exhibition well.

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11-15

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October 2014

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© 2014 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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