Analysis and Application about Coal Mine System Dynamics Model Based on Non-Linear Regression

Abstract:

Author thinks that the three factors’ state of person, things, environment is decided by safety input, their different state meeting determined safe production. It can reduce accident by reducing three factors’ occurrence probability and changing safety investment object and quantity. According to the rule, the paper construct coal mine safety system dynamics causality diagram by using system dynamics theory from safety management angle, and made data quantitative analysis by non-linear regression, found out the function relationship that can reflect system elements dynamic change. At last, took one coal mine as an example, it made macroscopic analysis using the model.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 675-677)
• Pages: 1473-1478
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.675-677.1473
• Online since: October 2014
• Authors: Jing Chen*, Yong Jie Yang, Qing Gui Cao
• Keywords: Application, Coal Mine, Non-Linear Regression, System Dynamics

References

[1] Yun Luo. Safety economics [M]. Beijing. chemical industry press(2004). (In Chinese).

[2] Meijian Liang. Coal enterprises safety investment safeguard mechanism and system dynamics analysis[J]. Beijing. Chinese journal of safety science, Vol. 20(1) (2010), P: 125-158.

[3] Gang He, Guoshu Zhang, Qinghua Chen, Guotong Qiao. System dynamics simulation analysis of Coal mine safety management level impact factor [J]. Mining Safety, Vol. (5) ( 2010), P: 147-150.

[4] Shiliang Shi. Applied research about Mine safety nonlinear dynamics appraisal model[D]. ChangSha, HuNan Province: Central south university(2000). (In Chinese).

[5] Zhicheng Li, Bin Hu, Xiaohua Fu, Xiaoguang Gong. Management system theory and application of qualitative simulation[M]. Beijing. Science Press(2005). (In Chinese).