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Study on the Prior Information Credibility Test in Low-Voltage Switchgear Reliability Assessment
Abstract:
Reliability Assessment of low-voltage switchgear is of great significance to the safety of power system and its equipment. In this thesis, Bayes theory is introduced into the reliability Assessment of low-voltage switchgear. The main failure modes and failure rate of low-voltage switchgear has been summarized, and the fault arrangement diagram of low voltage switchgear is given in this paper. In view of the low-voltage switchgear with high reliability and relatively large number of samples, a feasible compatibility test method is proposed. Firstly, the distribution type can be tested through engineering experience and Goodness of fit test for weibull distribution. Then a prior information compatibility test is carried out by Wilcoxon rank sum test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov nonparametric test method. Finally, the prior information which is incompatible with credible site information is removed and reliable prior information is obtained. This paper lays a solid foundation for the Low-voltage switchgear reliability assessment based on Bayes theory.
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180-185
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December 2014
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© 2015 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved
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