Probabilistic Spinning Reserve Model of Power System Containing Wind

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Abstract:

In order to reflect the influences of the stochastic uncertain of wind power on the optimal decision-making of the power system spinning reserve, a probabilistic optimization model of the spinning reserve is proposed. Considering uncertain factors such as predicted-deviation of wind, predicted-deviation of load and fault outage of generator, the capacity outage probability table is combined with predicted-deviation of wind and predicted-deviation of load. By introducing the analytic expressed probability reserve constraints into the unit commitment model considering the wind power, the spinning reserve of power system can be optimized to the expectable contingency level. Using a calculation example, the effectiveness of the model is proved, providing a new model for uncertainty analysis and optimal scheduling decisions of power system containing wind.

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1238-1243

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October 2015

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© 2015 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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