Research of High-Speed Rail Express Delivery Market Demand Prediction Problem in China

Article Preview

Abstract:

The rapid development of high-speed railway brought tremendous opportunity for the quick transport of goods development. Great efforts to build high-speed rail not only release the existing railway transport capacity, but also provide a new choice to the quick transport of goods. This paper choose some factors to analysis which will influence the express transport, using time series forecasting prediction and gray combination forecasting method to predict results of the 2020 Express Freight shipments. By selecting the integrity, economy, efficiency, convenience, punctuality, service and environmental friendliness those seven Utility Index, established Logit cargo flow rate balancing model, to concluded that high-speed fast freight volume in 2020, which provide references for high-speed rail fast cargo transportation organization.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Pages:

899-903

Citation:

Online since:

August 2016

Authors:

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2016 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

* - Corresponding Author

[1] A. P Jennifer, D. M. Russell, M. P. Letitia, A model to design a national high-speed rail network for freight distribution, Transport. Res. Part A, 44(3) (2009) 119-135.

Google Scholar

[2] Z. S. Tan, Analysis of the potential advantages of high-speed rail business express business, Railway Econ. Res. 1 (2015) 15-17.

Google Scholar

[3] X. L. Dai, B. T. Ma, Quick Thoughts on the development of rail freight strategy, Railway Econ. Res. 2013, 1-5.

Google Scholar

[4] R. H. Xie, Logit model in Guangshen Railway Passenger Flow Estimating the Distribution Rate of, China Railway Sci. 27(3) (2006) 111-112.

Google Scholar

[5] J. Mi, Estimation of Lanzhou-Chongqing Passenger Transportation Corridor sharing rates logit model, Gansu Sci. 26(2) (2014) 105-106.

Google Scholar

[6] X. Zheng, Improvement of Logit model and its application in forecasting the distribution ratios of passenger flow, Changsha transport Learn. J. 23(4) (2007) 51-52.

Google Scholar