Determination of the Minimal Error of Power Consumption Forecast by Regression Analysis

Alexander Tavlintsev; Maria Shorikova

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.1008-1009.823

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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vols. 1008-1009Determination of the Minimal Error of Power...

Determination of the Minimal Error of Power Consumption Forecast by Regression Analysis

Abstract:

A procedure of estimation of the non-regular component of a power consumption schedule is described in this paper. A value of the non-regular component enables to evaluate the minimal error of daily-ahead power consumption forecast based on regression mathematical models. Evaluating calculations are given by the example of 10 regional power systems of Russia.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 1008-1009)

Pages:

823-826

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.1008-1009.823

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Online since:

August 2014

Authors:

Alexander Tavlintsev*, Maria Shorikova

Keywords:

Analysis of Load Fluctuations, Daily Power Consumption, Power Consumption Forecast

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References

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