Analysis of Influence Factors of Power Consumption Fluctuations in the Process of China Urbanization

Abstract:

As the steady and rapid economic growth aggravates the power supply and demand situation, it is necessary to analyze the influence factors of power consumption and establish prediction mechanisms for the power demand by the basic change law, aiming to promote the development of electric power. This paper conducted grey relational analysis for the power consumption from 1991 to 2012 and the relevant data of influence factors, including GDP, industry structure, and population and so on. Based on the above results, it explored various influence factors at different periods, then adopted the GM (1, 1) model to carry out gray prediction for the power consumption from 2013 to 2020 as well as the corresponding influencing factors, and finally analyzed the prediction results.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 1070-1072)
• Pages: 1549-1554
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.1070-1072.1549
• Online since: December 2014
• Authors: Pin Jie Xie*, Chen Chen Huang, Wen Hao Zhu
• Keywords: Grey Relational Analysis, Influence Factor, Power Consumption, Urbanization

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