Forecasting Electricity Demand of Shanghai Based on Power Consumption Intensity Decomposition

Ying Ling Shi; Mei Peng

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.347-353.2796

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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vols. 347-353Forecasting Electricity Demand of Shanghai Based...

Forecasting Electricity Demand of Shanghai Based on Power Consumption Intensity Decomposition

Abstract:

The paper describes the development of economy and electricity in Shanghai, builds a decomposition model of power consumption intensity, and analyzes the impacts of industrial power consumption intensity and industrial structure for the total power consumption intensity of Shanghai. Finally, the paper uses sub-scenarios to forecast electricity demand of Shanghai during Twelfth Five-Year period. The results show that the decrease of total power consumption intensity is mainly due to the decrease of industrial power consumption intensity, and the optimization of industrial structure has some contributions to the decrease of total power consumption as well.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 347-353)

Pages:

2796-2800

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.347-353.2796

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Online since:

October 2011

Authors:

Ying Ling Shi, Mei Peng

Keywords:

Decomposition Model, Electricity Demand, Power Consumption Intensity, Twelfth Five-Year Period

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References

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