Forecasting Electricity Demand of Shanghai Based on Power Consumption Intensity Decomposition

Abstract:

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The paper describes the development of economy and electricity in Shanghai, builds a decomposition model of power consumption intensity, and analyzes the impacts of industrial power consumption intensity and industrial structure for the total power consumption intensity of Shanghai. Finally, the paper uses sub-scenarios to forecast electricity demand of Shanghai during Twelfth Five-Year period. The results show that the decrease of total power consumption intensity is mainly due to the decrease of industrial power consumption intensity, and the optimization of industrial structure has some contributions to the decrease of total power consumption as well.

Info:

Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 347-353)

Edited by:

Weiguo Pan, Jianxing Ren and Yongguang Li

Pages:

2796-2800

DOI:

10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.347-353.2796

Citation:

Y. L. Shi and M. Peng, "Forecasting Electricity Demand of Shanghai Based on Power Consumption Intensity Decomposition", Advanced Materials Research, Vols. 347-353, pp. 2796-2800, 2012

Online since:

October 2011

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Price:

$35.00

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