Forecasting Electricity Demand of Shanghai Based on Power Consumption Intensity Decomposition
The paper describes the development of economy and electricity in Shanghai, builds a decomposition model of power consumption intensity, and analyzes the impacts of industrial power consumption intensity and industrial structure for the total power consumption intensity of Shanghai. Finally, the paper uses sub-scenarios to forecast electricity demand of Shanghai during Twelfth Five-Year period. The results show that the decrease of total power consumption intensity is mainly due to the decrease of industrial power consumption intensity, and the optimization of industrial structure has some contributions to the decrease of total power consumption as well.
Weiguo Pan, Jianxing Ren and Yongguang Li
Y. L. Shi and M. Peng, "Forecasting Electricity Demand of Shanghai Based on Power Consumption Intensity Decomposition", Advanced Materials Research, Vols. 347-353, pp. 2796-2800, 2012