Application of Scenario Analysis Management and Forecast of China's Soda Production Process, as Well as CO₂ Emissions from Energy Demand

Abstract:

This paper forecast alkali capacity demand for energy and CO₂ let in China through scene analysis by NICE model .As the major downstream industries of alkali production industry are building materials and paper, pharmaceutical, chemical industry, and a large part of these are glass, paper and chemical industry. So we choose glass, paper, soap, cloth as the base demand of the main relevant factors, using SPSS15.0: the future demand for caustic soda is strong linear relationship of glass and paper; the demand for soda ash is strong linear relationship of glass and soap.The results show that alkali capacity of China will reduce, the demand for energy and CO₂ let will be also reduced in 2010.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 356-360)
• Pages: 1790-1795
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.356-360.1790
• Online since: October 2011
• Authors: Jun Jing Guo, Wen Bin Chen
• Keywords: Alkali Capacity, Carbon Dioxide CO₂, Nice Model, Scene Analysis

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