Forecast on Payback Period of Restaurant Projects Investment by Computer Simulation

Abstract:

Investment projects of the civil engineering have many characteristics,such as large scale of construction,tremendous investment cost,long payback period of investment, and bad risk. For investors, the investment payback period of construction projects is an important index that evaluate and measure economic effect of project investment. The investment capital can be recovered in the operation of actual projects by the influence of random factors, it is difficult that the investment payback period of construction projects is calculated generally using analytic method. Combined with restaurant project in this paper, set up the mathematical model of the payback period of investment, find out random factors that influence its cash flow of restaurant project, to research and measure the data of random factors on existing similar projects, to determine the probability distribution of random parameters,and Statistical data processing, make use of the computer simulation, set up the simulation model of the payback period of investment, to forecast the static and dynamic payback period of construction projects,provided decision-making with scientific base and meaningful reference.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 446-449)
• Pages: 3782-3786
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.446-449.3782
• Online since: January 2012
• Authors: Meng Fang Zhang, Liang Huang, Yi Ping Cai
• Keywords: Computer Simulation, Constriction Project, Investment Decision, Payback Period of Investment

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