Assessment of the Nitrogen Estimation of Fecal Residue and Waste Water Production Amount and its Risk Predict in Nanning City

Abstract:

The computational parameter and statistical methods of pig fecal equivalent of the livestock and poultry manure in nanning County is determined in the current project based on the several surveys of local farming conditions, and pig excrement equivalent number from 2004 to 2009 are calculated. Based on pig fecal equivalent, we forecast poultry excrement load of early warning value from 2010 to 2015 year by using the GM (1, 1) model. The result indicates that from 2010 to 2015 the livestock manure emissions in nanning city increase from 18063400 tons to 19168900 tons, the average farm manure load reached 27.70 t/ha from 26.11 t/ha, the R value increases gradually, the agricultural non-point pollution thereat degree of animal manure actually assures the tendency of aggravating.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 518-523)
• Pages: 2399-2405
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.518-523.2399
• Online since: May 2012
• Authors: Jun He He, Ping Xian, Xiong Zheng, Ya Qing Liu, Xiao Ping Li, Ying Bo Xu, Ming Tang
• Keywords: Emission, Fecal Residue and Waste Water, GM(1,1) Model, Pig Fecal Equivalent, Risk Prediction

References

[1] Weili Zhang, Shuxia Wu, Hongjie Ji.Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2004, 37: 1008-1017, in chinese

[2] MWPS (Midwest Plan Service).Manure Storages. Manure Management System Series. MWPS- 18, Section 2. MidWest Plan Service, Iowa State University, Ames, (2001)

[3] Julong Deng. Grey Prediction and Grey Decision [M]. Wuhan: Huazhong University of Science﹠Technology press, (2000)

[4] Jianghong Wang, Liying Yu, Yinghui Ma.AnHui Agriculture Science Bulletin, 2007, 13: 79-80, in chinese

[5] Nanning Municipal Bureau of Statistics. Nanning Statistical Yearbook [M].Beijing:China Statistics Press

[6] Xinmou Wang. Domestic animals scatology [M].ShangHai: Shanghai Jiaotong University Press

[7] Fang-hao WANG, Wen-qi MA, Zheng-xia DOU.China Environmental Science; 2006, 26(5):614~617, in chinese

[8] Li Peng, Dingyong Wang.Transactions of The Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering; 2004-01, in chinese

[9] Tao Hu, Jiaqi Wang, Dengpan Bo.Shanghai Environmental Sciences, (2011), 30:13-17, in chinese

[10] State Environmental Protection Administration of Nature and Ecology Conservation. Large-scale national survey of aquaculture and pollution control measures [M].Beijing: China Environmental Science Press, (2002)

[11] Moore J A, Gamroth M J. Agricultural Communications Oregon State University Administrative Services A442 ECl094, 1993, 11: l-7

[12] Dong LIU, Lin MA, Fang-hao WANG. Journal of Agro-Environment Science; (2007), 26(4):1591-1595

[13] Xiao-yan WANG, Qing-ping WANG, Xin-guang CAI. Acta Ecologiae Animalis Domastici; 2007-06:158-162, in chinese

[14] Genxiang Shen, Yagu Wang, Dawei Yuan.Acta Agricul Turae ShangHai; 1994, 10:6-11, in chinese