The Scenario Analysis of Carbon Emissions Based on Improved IPAT Model in China

Xu Shan; Hua Wang Shao

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.616-618.1484

Paper Titles

Study on Spatial and Temporal Variation of Ecological Compensation in Wuhu
p.1461

Discussion of the Mitigation on Urban Heat Island Effect Based on Sustainable Development
p.1465

Enlightenment on the Bill of the EU ETS to Aviation Industry in China
p.1473

A Formalism Knowledge and Research Framework for the Field of Microclimate and Urban Form Studies
p.1478

The Scenario Analysis of Carbon Emissions Based on Improved IPAT Model in China
p.1484

Global Climate Change and International Countermeasures
p.1490

Variations of Temperature in Hefei City in Recent 50 Years
p.1496

Clean Development Mechanism and Carbon Trading Market Construction in China
p.1500

Synergistic CO₂ and Air Pollution Reduction Based on Multi-Objective Programming
p.1505

HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vols. 616-618The Scenario Analysis of Carbon Emissions Based on...

The Scenario Analysis of Carbon Emissions Based on Improved IPAT Model in China

Abstract:

The coordination development of economy-energy-environment was discussed with traditional environmental loads model, combined with "decoupling" theory. Considering the possibilities of social and economic development, this paper set out three scenarios, and analyzed quantitatively the indexes, which affected carbon dioxide emissions, including population, per capita GDP, industrial structure and energy structure. Based on this, it forecasted carbon dioxide emissions in China in future. By comparing the prediction results, it held that policy scenario was the more realistic scenario, what’s more it can achieve emission reduction targets with the premise of meeting the social and economic development goals. At last, it put forward suggestions to implement successfully policy scenario, from energy structure, industrial structure, low-carbon technology and so on.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 616-618)

Pages:

1484-1489

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.616-618.1484

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Online since:

December 2012

Authors:

Xu Shan, Hua Wang Shao

Keywords:

Carbon Dioxide Emission, Environmental Loads Model, Scenario

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