Urban Building Energy Consumption Forecast Based on the IPAT Theory

Cui Zou; Xiu Li Liu

doi:10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.689.482

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HomeAdvanced Materials ResearchAdvanced Materials Research Vol. 689Urban Building Energy Consumption Forecast Based...

Urban Building Energy Consumption Forecast Based on the IPAT Theory

Abstract:

This paper established an urban building energy consumption model based on IPAT theory combined with ARMA method. Applying the model, the paper calculated the urban building energy consumption in different scenarios, and then predicted the amount of urban building energy consumption in China during 2011-2015. The amount of Chinese urban building energy consumption would grow rapidly during this period, and would reach about 895 million tons of standard coal in 2015. Results analysis showed that it would be necessary to promote energy- efficiency measures in urban buildings, especially in the public buildings.

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Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volume 689)

Pages:

482-486

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.689.482

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Online since:

May 2013

Authors:

Cui Zou, Xiu Li Liu

Keywords:

Building Energy Consumption, Energy Efficiency, IPAT Theory, Urban

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