Study on the Forecast of the Economic Loss in Storm Surge Disaster Based on Fourier Series - A Case Study of China

Abstract:

The economic loss forecasting model is built up on the basis of the Fourier series to simulate economic loss and grades in storm surge disaster of Zhejiang, Fujian and Guangdong Provinces. The wind speed can be used to forecast the economic loss of Guangdong Province, and the accuracy of trend and grade forecasting is good (80%). The wind power data can be used in Zhejiang and Fujian Provinces, and the accuracy results are both inferior (60%). Therefore, in the economic warning of storm surge disaster, the Fourier series model can be applied to forecast economic loss and grades.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 734-737)
• Pages: 3280-3285
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.734-737.3280
• Online since: August 2013
• Authors: Ling Di Zhao, Ya Ru Hao
• Keywords: Economic Loss, Forecasting, Fourier Series, Storm Surge

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