An Estimation Method of Time-Varying Beta in Price Limiting Mechanism

Article Preview

Abstract:

This paper introduces the censored effect on return in price limiting mechanism. And it establishes a censored-SS market model. The paper uses Chinas stock market trading data to estimate time-varying beta and does an empirical research. Finally by comparing the prediction errors of market model, SS market model and censored-SS market model it verifies the effectiveness of censored-SS market model. Moreover, it will lead to an underestimation of systemic risk when considering the time-varying characteristics but ignoring the factor of price limiting mechanism.

You might also be interested in these eBooks

Info:

Periodical:

Advanced Materials Research (Volumes 734-737)

Pages:

3302-3307

Citation:

Online since:

August 2013

Export:

Price:

Permissions CCC:

Permissions PLS:

Сopyright:

© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

Share:

Citation:

* - Corresponding Author

[1] G. Schwert, Willian abd J. Seguin, Heteroskedasticity in Stock Returns, Journal of Finance. 45 (1990).

Google Scholar

[2] Lie, Frida, D. Brooks and W. Faff, Modeling the Equity Beta Risk of Australian Financial Sector Companies, Australian Economic Papers. 9 (2000).

DOI: 10.1111/1467-8454.00093

Google Scholar

[3] D. Brooks, W. Faff and D. McKenzie, Time-varying Beta risk of Australian Industry Portfolios: a Com of Modeling Techniques, Australian Journal of Management. 23 (1998).

DOI: 10.1177/031289629802300101

Google Scholar

[4] N. Groenewold and P. Fraser, Time-varying Estimates of CAPM betas, Mathematics and Computers in Simulation. 48 (1999).

DOI: 10.1016/s0378-4754(99)00033-6

Google Scholar

[5] A. Episcopos, A. Stock Return Volatility and Time-varying Betas in the Toronto Stock Exchange, Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics. 35 (1996).

Google Scholar

[6] G. Reyes and Mario, Time-varying Beta and Conditional Heteroscedasticity in UK stock Returns, Reviews of Financial Economics. 8 (1999).

DOI: 10.1016/s1058-3300(99)00007-5

Google Scholar

[7] Chen, Chao and Jeng Jau-Lian, The Impact of Price Limits on Foreign Currency Future's Price Volatility and Market Efficiency, Global Finance Journal. 7 (1996).

DOI: 10.1016/s1044-0283(96)90011-3

Google Scholar

[8] X. Wei, A Censored-GARCH Model of Asset Return with Price Limits, Journal of Empirical Finance. 9 (2002).

Google Scholar

[9] D. McKenzie, D. Brooks, W. Faff and Ho, Yew, Kee, Exploring the Economic Rationale of Extremes in GARCH Generated Betas: The Case of U.S. Banks, The Quarterly Riview of Economics and Finance. 40 (2000).

DOI: 10.1016/s1062-9769(99)00046-0

Google Scholar

[10] L.N. Chen, H.W. Chen, H.G. Deng, Z.X. Hu and D.T Chen, Study on Asset Pricing, China Financial and Economic Publishing House. 2008.

Google Scholar