Hybrid Forecasting Model of Reactive Load Based on FOA and Linear Exponential Smoothing

Abstract:

During the prediction of Linear exponential smoothing model,the value of the coefficient has a little blindness,which is always valued by experience.This paper uses FOA model to optimize it in Linear exponential smoothing model,constructing the hybrid forecasting model this paper uses to predict the reactive load of a substation.Then,this paper uses the hybrid forecasting model to forecast reactive load.The results show that:compared with the traditional Linear exponential smoothing model,the hybrid forecasting model is effective not only on selecting parameter values ,but also improving the prediction accuracy of the reactive load to a big extent.

• Periodical: Advanced Materials Research (Volume 823)
• Pages: 500-504
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMR.823.500
• Online since: October 2013
• Authors: Yuan Sheng Huang, Te Li, Wei Pi
• Keywords: FOA Model, Linear Exponential Smoothing Model, Reactive Load

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