An Ai-Based Approach to Developing a Microstructural Model for Multi-Stage Hot Deformation Processes

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Predicting the microstructural state during manufacturing is critical, as it directly governs the material's final mechanical properties. Accurate prediction of microstructure evolution in multi-stage industrial hot deformation processes, such as rolling, is limited by the lack of experimental data at intermediate stages, where direct measurement is impractical. To address this, an integrated methodology combining finite element (FE) simulation in QForm UK® software, physical simulation using the Thermo-Mechanical Treatment Simulator (TMTS), and artificial intelligence (AI) is proposed and investigated. The methodology is demonstrated for the 11-pass hot rolling of a 41Cr4 steel bar. Thermomechanical loading histories from an FE model of the industrial process were used to design and simulate a targeted TMTS experiment, generating a synthetic dataset via an analytical JMAK model that combines multiple recrystallisation mechanisms. This data was used to train a recurrent neural network (RNN) with an augmented physics-informed Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) cell to predict the totally recrystallised fraction (RX) solely from loading history data. The AI model achieved high accuracy when validated within the TMTS simulation domain, successfully capturing different recrystallisation regimes. Implementation within commercial FE software enabled direct prediction in the rolling process simulation, yielding promising predictive capability, particularly in regions with thermal histories similar to the training data, highlighting the critical importance of training data diversity. This work establishes a proof of concept for a novel calibration methodology, where targeted physical simulation bridges the gap between industrial process complexity and data-driven AI model development, offering a practical solution for modelling scenarios where traditional experimental calibration is infeasible.

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183-192

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April 2026

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