Early-Warning System for Power Coal Storage and Supply Margin of Henan Province

Abstract:

China's needs of energy increased dramatically in these years. In China, Electrical energy are mainly generated by thermal power plants that use coal as fuel, thus electricity supply are linked to the power fuel (coals) storage of power plants. Henan has been changed form an energy exporter province to an energy importer province. Therefore, the fuel storage and supply of power plants are keys to the security of the province's social development, economics and energy supply. Research the margin of power fuel storage and supply can help the policy makers to learn the security conditions and trends of electricity production microscopically, reducing the risks in the power production process, and improving the efficiency of production and the efficiency of energy. Environmental and economic issues brought by the excessive storage can be reduced. This article describes the ideas and development of early warning system for power fuel storage and supply margin of Henan province.

• Periodical: Applied Mechanics and Materials (Volumes 291-294)
• Pages: 2366-2374
• DOI: https://doi.org/10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.291-294.2366
• Online since: February 2013
• Authors: Ye Fei Liu, Huan Qi, Su Qin Sun
• Keywords: ARIMA Model, Early Warning System, Information System, Prediction, Trend Extrapolation Method

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