Bulk Shipping Organization Method Choice on Yangtze River Based on Logit Model

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The Yangtze River bulk shipping has a supporting role on economic development along the river. How to choose the most economic and reasonable shipping organization method is crucial to the maximization of ship utilization ratio. This paper established a logit model to solve the problem of shipping method choice, solving utility function by adopting possibility and satisfaction degree method rather than Delphi method, which is widely used in fuzzy evaluation. In the end, it conducted shipping method choice analysis in Wuhan to Shanghai leg in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. The results indicate the model is reliable, effective and practical.

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1977-1981

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August 2013

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© 2013 Trans Tech Publications Ltd. All Rights Reserved

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